The 20 states that end in not long ago group (G20) hamburger peak is met on, xi Jinping’s secretary-general publishs serious talk with respect to current international economic situation. He points out, current world economy appears to good the look of things, this is in recent years best economic situation. In the meantime, the problem of deep administrative levels in world economy had be notted solve, still face a lot of not stable not certain factor. This one judgement held the new feature that current world economy grows, walked out of predicament to offer at an early date for world economy point to mark.
Economic daily publishs reporter Lian Jun to sum up an article to express, since this year, world economy grows “ the feature of two outstanding ” is very apparent. On one hand, in manufacturing industry and commerce periodic anabiosis and below the steady progress of global money market, anabiosis highlight quite to good the look of things. Since entering 2 quarters especially, include Monetary Fund of world bank, international (IMF) and classics join an organization (OECD) inside much home orgnaization was increased right today bright economy of two years of worlds is added fast anticipate; On the other hand, trade protectionism looks up, develop economic system economic policy especially the feature that monetary policy does not decide to the minatory degree that waits for a risk to anabiosis to world economy is increased is more outstanding also. Not only such, economic unbalance causes series to develop a problem, like ground fringe politics conflict, big country has a hand in heat area and heat problem to wait, these problems are pestered each other, each other is cause and effect, become the main factor that global economy frangibility enhances.
Article analysis, from the point of data, develop first half of the year posture of economic system get warm again after a cold spell is apparent, system of the economy in rising market and development takes situation step differ.
Basically develop in economic system, economy grows the United States to grow 1.4% by annual rate computation first quarter, prep above anticipates, 2 quarters are added fast also value for market place. Euro region economy is added fast restore to come first half of the year the level before international banking crisis. Heart of president of European Central Bank pulls auspicious the middle ten days of a month announced to increase in June also made clear to the act that growth of euro region economy forecasted 2019 2017, the impetus of steady growth already formed euro region economy anticipate, the confidence that to Europe economy grows is restoring gradually. Japan experienced the duration is the longest economy dilate since 2006.
Of system of the economy in rising market and development take situation step differ. Chinese economy maintains steady growth continuously, economy grows 6.9% first quarter, main economic norms is good at anticipating, economic structure is optimized continuously. Russia is in look forward to of global oil price is firm pick up to be pulled with domestic demand move double element action to fall, walk out of decline stage by stage. Indian economy grows 6.1% first quarter, anticipate under the market, the wholesale tax that at the same time India begins to carry out corrects success or failure sealed, will not add strip come to its bigger risk. Economic hopeful turns round Latin America to glide quickly situation, resume constant growth even, but below the setting that increases in exterior uncertainty, in region economy short-term inside come true hard strong rebound, the fluctuant situation that anabiosis still can continue.
The article thinks, world economy grows first half of the year to good the look of things, element of many sided of main profit from, include to develop posture of economic system get warm again after a cold spell is apparent, the stability of system of the economy in the Asian rising market that is a delegate with China and development grows, and demand picks up the heavy goods price that drives rebounds, manufacturing industry anabiosises and commerce invests state improvement to wait. The speed that global economy anabiosises first half of the year and range are in recent years optimal.
But, no less than reviews what close smooth secretary-general points out in that way, the problem of deep administrative levels in “ world economy had be notted solve, still be faced with ” of a lot of not stable not certain factor. Although growth anticipates,improve somewhat, but global economy still faces risk of be issued to lower levels. On one hand, developed country economic policy especially monetary policy uncertainty rises will damage market confidence, cause money market then queasy; On the other hand, trade protectionism warms up to increase trade of minatory whole world impetus. This two respects also are current world economy anabiosises slow the two catastrophe problem that face.